experts and translators of the new domain
Articles by Paul Rosenzweig
Paul Rosenzweig is a prolific author, read a sampling of some of Paul’s most notable publications.
Come Compete in the White Hat Cyber Forecasting Challenge
Rare are the moments when policy wonks get to put their theory into practice. But today we are happy to announce the White Hat Cyber Forecasting Challenge! We invite every Lawfare reader to take up the challenge of issuing predictions on future…
What To Expect With Cyber Surprise
The possibilities of surprise in cyberspace are almost limitless. You can’t predict a surprise. But, the degree of surprise often varies. Some, like the attack on Pearl Harbor, are deep strategic surprises (for the classic analysis, I recommend…
Kenny Rogers, China, and the tech business
Few know it, but the great songwriter Kenny Rogers also had a lot to teach the world about cybersecurity. No. Seriously. His classic song, “The Gambler,” is not just a story about wagering, it can be read as a parable about cybersecurity and, in…
Rethinking the Homeland Security Enterprise
The 20th anniversary of the founding of the Department of Homeland Security looms in early 2023. What should the next Quadrennial Homeland Security Review study? The 20th anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on America passed in Sept. 2021. The…
Email and Internet Voting:
The Overlooked Threat to Election Security EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Over the past two years, revelations that our election systems have been targeted for cyberattack have roiled the United States. Leaders of our national security apparatus have repeatedly warned that our...
Betting on Cyber: Offering an Analytical Framework for a Cybersecurity Crowd-Forecasting Platform
Introduction Our two previous posts on the Lawfare Blog addressed a series of questions. In our first post, we offered an overview of the current ecosystem of prediction markets and crowd-forecasting platforms, and asked if they might generate useful…
How Crowd-Forecasting Might Decrease the Cybersecurity Knowledge Deficit
Can we apply the techniques of crowd-forecasting for better cybersecurity? What if it were possible to predict, with a measurable degree of accuracy, what actions the U.S. government and private sector will undertake over the course of the next year…
Learning from Cyber Incidents – Adapting Aviation Safety Models to Cybersecurity
In 2018, Paul Rosenzweig at the R Street Institute published a short paper on the topic, [10] [10] Paul Rosenzweig, The NTSB as a Model for Cybersecurity, R Street Shorts no. 58, May 1, 2018, https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep19126
The Cyber Monoculture Risk
Monoculture risk is manageable for most systems, but that isn’t the case for government systems. For these systems, monoculture vulnerability is a national security risk. Nature, they say, abhors a vacuum. It also abhors a monoculture. That’s because…
Biden Warns a ‘Real Shooting War’ Could Come From Cyber Breach
President Joe Biden told U.S. intelligence officials on Tuesday that he thinks a cyber breach could lead to a “shooting war” with a major global power. “I think it’s more likely we’re going to end up—if we end up in a war, a real shooting war, with a…