Betting on Cyber: Offering an Analytical Framework for a Cybersecurity Crowd-Forecasting Platform
Introduction Our two previous posts on the Lawfare Blog addressed a series of questions. In our first post, we offered an overview of the current ecosystem of prediction markets and crowd-forecasting platforms, and asked if they might generate useful…
How Crowd-Forecasting Might Decrease the Cybersecurity Knowledge Deficit
Can we apply the techniques of crowd-forecasting for better cybersecurity? What if it were possible to predict, with a measurable degree of accuracy, what actions the U.S. government and private sector will undertake over the course of the next year…
Learning from Cyber Incidents – Adapting Aviation Safety Models to Cybersecurity
In 2018, Paul Rosenzweig at the R Street Institute published a short paper on the topic, [10] [10] Paul Rosenzweig, The NTSB as a Model for Cybersecurity, R Street Shorts no. 58, May 1, 2018, https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep19126
The Cyber Monoculture Risk
Monoculture risk is manageable for most systems, but that isn’t the case for government systems. For these systems, monoculture vulnerability is a national security risk. Nature, they say, abhors a vacuum. It also abhors a monoculture. That’s because…