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Betting on Cyber: Offering an Analytical Framework for a Cybersecurity Crowd-Forecasting Platform

Betting on Cyber: Offering an Analytical Framework for a Cybersecurity Crowd-Forecasting Platform

by Paul Rosenzweig | Dec 8, 2021 | Cybersecurity

Introduction Our two previous posts on the Lawfare Blog addressed a series of questions. In our first post, we offered an overview of the current ecosystem of prediction markets and crowd-forecasting platforms, and asked if they might generate useful…
How Crowd-Forecasting Might Decrease the Cybersecurity Knowledge Deficit

How Crowd-Forecasting Might Decrease the Cybersecurity Knowledge Deficit

by Paul Rosenzweig | Dec 5, 2021 | Cybersecurity

Can we apply the techniques of crowd-forecasting for better cybersecurity? What if it were possible to predict, with a measurable degree of accuracy, what actions the U.S. government and private sector will undertake over the course of the next year…
Learning from Cyber Incidents – Adapting Aviation Safety Models to Cybersecurity

Learning from Cyber Incidents – Adapting Aviation Safety Models to Cybersecurity

by Paul Rosenzweig | Nov 29, 2021 | Cybersecurity

In 2018, Paul Rosenzweig at the R Street Institute published a short paper on the topic, [10] [10] Paul Rosenzweig, The NTSB as a Model for Cybersecurity, R Street Shorts no. 58, May 1, 2018, https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep19126
The Cyber Monoculture Risk

The Cyber Monoculture Risk

by Paul Rosenzweig | Sep 30, 2021 | Cybersecurity, National Security

Monoculture risk is manageable for most systems, but that isn’t the case for government systems. For these systems, monoculture vulnerability is a national security risk. Nature, they say, abhors a vacuum. It also abhors a monoculture. That’s because…
Biden Warns a ‘Real Shooting War’ Could Come From Cyber Breach

Biden Warns a ‘Real Shooting War’ Could Come From Cyber Breach

by Paul Rosenzweig | Jul 27, 2021 | Artificial intelligence, Cybersecurity, Donald Trump, Homeland Security

President Joe Biden told U.S. intelligence officials on Tuesday that he thinks a cyber breach could lead to a “shooting war” with a major global power. “I think it’s more likely we’re going to end up—if we end up in a war, a real shooting war, with a…
Learning from Cyber Incidents – Adapting Aviation Safety Models to Cybersecurity

Event: The Cyber Solarium Commission: What is Left to Be Done?

by Paul Rosenzweig | Jul 25, 2021 | Cybersecurity

The Cyber Solarium Commission made a number of recommendations intended to improve the cybersecurity posture of the US. Many of the recommendations have yet to be implemented. Panelists discuss those recommendations that cover improvements to the US…
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